近日，加拿大移民局公布的信息显示，部分项目的等待周期长达数十年，前两年火热的SUV项目审理周期可能高达420个月！SUV目前的审理期为53个月，但如果你在今年才递交的情况下，审理周期高达420个月，整整35年！农业类别和看护类别也来到了夸张的228个月和108个月。

而对应的入池人数和配额，2025年SUV只会处理2%的入池人数，农业试点处理5%，看护处理14%。

业内猜测，2026年底SUV是一定会有新的变化出台，要么一刀切关闭SUV通道，要么重新定制SUV的入池门槛，比如新增行业限定，经营规模，雇佣人数等等，让这部分候选人重新入池。

这里需要单独说明一下2025-Q2，2025年第二季度获邀的情况下，SUV审理周期420个月，下面所表述的均为当季度获邀的审理预计时间。这一变化引起了市场的巨大震动。

为此，加拿大移民、难民及公民部（IRCC）向创业签证（SUV）项目的指定机构发出了一封关键信函，针对该项目官方预估处理时间超过10年，甚至“420个月”的惊人数据做出解释。在信函中，IRCC主要从预估处理时间计算方式的变更、排期延长的根源、“优先通道”和“普通通道”的政策以及政策的目标等方面进行了说明。

一、坦诚的危机通报与原因剖析

IRCC的这封信函具体内容包含了以下要点：

1、处理时间计算方式的变革：IRCC将处理时间的报告方式从“回顾性”改为“前瞻性”。过去是基于过去半年内80%完整申请的处理时长，现在则是根据当前申请积压数量与年度移民水平计划中为该类别分配的名额进行动态预测。这一转变使得潜在的系统性拥堵问题得以直观暴露。因此，对于新申请人而言，目前420个月的预测是准确的，但这是基于一些可能且很可能会发生变化的因素，包括申请积压的数量和政府设定的年度接收目标。

2、SUV项目处理时间延长的原因：

库存与配额限制‌：当前处理时间预估主要取决于申请库存量及IRCC年度移民计划目标。若申请量超出配额，处理时间将延长。即使效率提升，库存积压仍可能导致周期增加。

‌政策调整影响‌：2024年4月SUV项目引入每机构10个初创企业的配额限制及优先审理标准（如获得承诺资本或加拿大科技网络成员支持）。但同年政府削减移民配额，进一步延长了处理周期。

3、明确“处理优先级”的存在：IRCC明确，将优先处理拥有承诺资本投入或是由加拿大科技网络成员组织支持的申请，不符合优先条件的申请按“先到先得”原则处理，具体取决于年度配额剩余情况。

4、政策目的及后续措施：IRCC理解当前预估周期可能引发担忧。根据总理授权信要求，IRCC正评估方案，在确保移民系统可持续性的同时，继续吸引顶尖创业人才。

附：IRCC信函原文

Good afternoon,

We are writing to you in your capacity as a designated organization in the Start-up Visa (SUV) program. You may have noticed that IRCC has changed the way it reports processing times for applicants in the SUV program. (Processing times can be found here: Check current IRCC processing times - Canada.ca.) This change has led several organizations to contact us with questions and concerns, which we hope to address with this message.

The Department is improving how it reports processing times to provide forward-looking estimates with more up-to-date information so clients can have a more transparent and predictable experience. (This contrasts with the previous approach, which provided a historical processing time that was based on the time it took the Department to process 80% of complete applications in the preceding 6 months). Applicants will be able to get a better estimate of how long it should take to process their application, the number of people in the inventory, and approximately how many other applicants are ahead of them.

While this new approach may be more useful for clients, it does provide a much longer estimated processing time for applications in the SUV program than the previous approach, as clients applying today or who have applied in the last few years will be told by the processing time tool on IRCC’s website to expect a decision in more than 10 years. In addition, there have been references to SUV processing times of 420 months in the media, which were included in briefing material provided to Minister Diab following the spring election. The forecast of 420 months for new applicants is currently accurate but based on factors that could, and likely will, change, including the size of the application backlog and the annual admissions targets set by the Government.

Why have processing times grown?

While there are additional factors, current processing time estimates are based primarily on the number of applications in the current SUV inventory and how many IRCC expects to process to stay within the approved targets in the annual Immigration Levels Plan. If there are more people applying than available annual levels spaces, processing times can increase. If there are more applications in the inventory than available levels space, any processing efficiency measures or increased productivity will not improve or decrease processing times.

We have seen this situation play out in the SUV program in recent years, which is why IRCC introduced caps of 10 start-ups per designated organization, and criteria for prioritizing some applications over others. However, since these measures were introduced in April 2024, the Government reduced immigration targets. This reduction in available spaces affected the SUV program, as it did other IRCC lines of business, and consequently processing times have increased.

IRCC’s Client Support Centre agents have access to the same processing time information on the website. Contacting IRCC will not speed up the processing of an application. Applications in the SUV program will be processed according to the criteria established in April 2024, which prioritizes the processing of applications with committed capital or that are supported by organizations that are members of Canada’s Tech Network. Applications that are not supported by a commitment that meets one of these conditions will be processed following those that are prioritized, on a first-in, first-out basis, as annual admissions (levels) space allows.

We understand that the estimated processing times will be a cause for concern for SUV applicants and our designated organization partners. As outlined in the Prime Minister’s mandate letter, we are committed to attracting top talent while making the immigration system more sustainable and are assessing options to ensure that Canada continues to welcome top entrepreneurial talent.

Regards,

The Business Immigration Team

Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada

IRCC.BIMPEIB-PIGADGIEP.IRCC@cic.gc.ca

二、从“普通排队”到“精英快车道”的转变

‌此封信函，宣告了SUV项目早期“粗放式”发展模式的终结。过去，只要获得任一指定机构的支持信，所有申请人在理论上都站在同一起跑线，按提交顺序排队。如今，情况已彻底改变。

政策导向：吸引“优质”而非“数量”，优先处理规则清晰地揭示了加拿大政府的意图，不再是广泛地吸引创业者，而是精准地吸引那些最有可能成功、能为加拿大经济带来即时和显著贡献的创业者。“承诺资本”意味着项目已通过市场验证，具备更强的生存和发展能力；“加拿大科技网络”的支持则代表项目经过了更专业、更严格筛选网络的评估。这直接将移民筛选与经济效益深度绑定。

“优先通道”的实质是资源倾斜：在总体名额有限的情况下，IRCC选择将宝贵的审批资源优先分配给他们认为“更优质”的申请。这意味着，符合优先条件的申请将跳过十年以上的普通排队队列，进入一个处理速度可能快得多的“快车道”。

对指定组织和申请人的深远影响：这一变化将促使指定组织更积极地完善自身，甄选更优质、更有发展前景的创业项目，更改之前“粗放”时代滥发支持信的做法，争取加入加拿大大科技网络。对于申请人而言，商业计划的质量、获得投资的能力以及选择哪个指定组织（是否为科技网络成员），变得前所未有的重要。

IRCC的信函是一份坦诚的“危机声明”，但也为真正具备实力的创业者指明了一条清晰的路径。它标志着加拿大商业移民政策进入了一个全新的、强调“择优筛选”与“可持续性”的阶段。在此背景下，理解IRCC的政策逻辑，并把握新规中明确的“优先通道”，成为所有SUV申请人的重中之重。

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